Interval and Paired Probabilities for Treating Uncertain Events

نویسندگان

  • Yukari YAMAUCHI
  • Masao MUKAIDONO
چکیده

When the degree of intersections A∩B of events A,B is unknown arises a problem: how to evaluate the probability P(A ∩ B) and P(A ∩B) from P(A) and P(B). To treat related problems two models of valuation: interval and paired probabilities are proposed. It is shown that the valuation corresponding to the set operations ∩ (intersection), ∪ (union) and ∼ (complement) can be described by the truth functional ∧ (AND), ∨ (OR) and ∼ (negation) operations in both models. The probabilistic AND and OR operations are represented by combinations of Kleene and ( Lukasiewicz operations, and satisfy the axioms of MV (multiple-valued logic)-Algebra except the complementary laws. key words: interval probability

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Exact maximum coverage probabilities of confidence intervals with increasing bounds for Poisson distribution mean

 ‎A Poisson distribution is well used as a standard model for analyzing count data‎. ‎So the Poisson distribution parameter estimation is widely applied in practice‎. ‎Providing accurate confidence intervals for the discrete distribution parameters is very difficult‎. ‎So far‎, ‎many asymptotic confidence intervals for the mean of Poisson distribution is provided‎. ‎It is known that the coverag...

متن کامل

Interval network data envelopment analysis model for classification of investment companies in the presence of uncertain data

The main purpose of this paper is to propose an approach for performance measurement, classification and ranking the investment companies (ICs) by considering internal structure and uncertainty. In order to reach this goal, the interval network data envelopment analysis (INDEA) models are extended. This model is capable to model two-stage efficiency with intermediate measures i...

متن کامل

A Language for Planning with Statistics

When a planner must decide whether it has enough evidence to make a decision based on probability, it faces the sample size prob­ lem. Current planners using probabilities need not deal with this problem because they do not generate their probabilities from ob­ servations. This paper presents an event­ based language in which the planner's proba­ bilities are calculated from the binomial ran­ d...

متن کامل

الگوریتم جدیدی برای تحلیل حساسیت مسیر بحرانی در شبکه های پرت با درنظر گرفتن ریسک های موجود در پروژه

Taking into account, the uncertain time duration for each activity in a pert network, we would need to accept the notion that the critical path of the project could also vary a number of times during its execution. If these variations take place frequently during the project in an unpredictable manner, it could endanger the efficient management of that project, and in addition to lengthening th...

متن کامل

ارزیابی ریسک احتمالی به روش آنالیز درخت خطای فازی بر پایه ی دو نوع توزیع امکان وقوع نقص در صنایع فرآیندی

Introduction: Probabilistic risk assessment using fault tree analysis is an effective tool to assess occurrence probability of hazardous events in chemical process industries. Unfortunately, the failure occurrence probability of the basic events are often not available in process industries. The aim of this study is how calculate basic events failure occurrence probability when basic events do ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 1999